Update (7:54 PM): If you’re not already there, the A2Y liveblog is here. - Matt
Update (6:67 PM): Darren McCarty is in, Aaron Downey is out. - Matt
Update (6:35 PM): The FSN crew just said that both Aaron Downey and Darren McCarty will take the pre-game skate. Babcock will make a decision after that. - Matt
Update (12:20 PM): Bob Duff writes that McCarty “wasn’t counting on playing” when he talked to him this morning. - Matt
Update (12:12 PM): Ansar Khan reports that with Mikael Samuelsson set to play, the final roster spot will go to either Aaron Downey or Darren McCarty. Bruce MacLeod, on the other hand, reported earlier that McCarty would get the nod.
Khan provides projected lines and pairings for Nashville:
Jan Hlavac-Jason Arnott-J.P. Dumont
Martin Erat-Radek Bonk-Alexander Radulov
Vern Fiddler-Scott Nichol-Jerred Smithson
Brandon Bochenski-Rich Peverley-Jordin TootooDan Hamhuis-Greg de Vries
Ryan Suter-Marek Zidlicky
Greg Zanon-Shea Weber
- Matt
Tonight is Game 1 of “Series E,” the Western Conference Quarterfinal between the #1 seed Detroit Red Wings and the #8 seed Nashville Predators.
Playoff History
It is the second time the teams have met in the playoffs. In 2004, the Wings knocked the Predators out of the first round in six games. It was Nashville’s first ever trip to the post-season.
2004 series recaps:
Game 1: Wings 3, Predators 1
Game 2: Wings 2, Predators 1
Game 3: Wings 1, Predators 3
Game 4: Wings 0, Predators 3
Game 5: Wings 4, Predators 1
Game 6: Wings 2, Predators 0
Regular Season Series
The eight-game regular season series ended 5-3 in Detroit’s favor. The Wings won November 7th (3-2 SO), December 10th (2-1), March 9 (4-3), March 20th (6-3) and March 30th (1-0 OT). The Predators’ wins came November 22nd (3-2), February 12th (4-2) and March 15th (3-1).
The Predators
The Predators finished the season 41-32-9 with 91 points. They were just 18-18-2 through December 31st, but a 23-14-7 second half put them in the playoffs. They finished the season with a 5-1-1 flourish after a 3-6-0 stretch.
They clinched a spot when Vancouver lost 2-1 to Edmonton on the third. Their 3-1 loss to Chicago on the 4th locked them in 8th place.
The Predators have a 4-12 post-season record and have yet to win a series. They were bounced in five games the past two years in a row by San Jose. This is the organization’s fourth playoff series.
Forwards
JP Dumont (76) and Jason Arnott (76) led the team in points. Dumont’s 29 goals were a team-high, with Arnott coming in at a close second with 28.
Just two other Predators hit the 20-goal mark: Alexander Radulov (26) and Martin Erat (23).
David Legwand (15), Radek Bonk (14), Jan Hlavac (12), Vernon Fiddler (11), Jordin Tootoo (11), and Scott Nichol (10) were the only other Preds to finish with double-digit goal totals. Martin Gelinas came close with 9, but had his season cut short by a knee injury.
Erat led all skaters with eight points against the Wings this season. He and Radulov both scored 4 goals. Dumont and Arnott notched 5 assists.
The forward corps contributed 208 goals to the Preds’ 12th-place 227 goal total.
Arnott led the forwards and the team in plus-minus with a +19. Nichol (12), Radulov (7), Brandon Bochenski (6), Dumont (5), Martin Gelinas (5), and Peverly (4) finished in the positives.
Darcy Hortichuk (-1), Hlavac (-1), Erat (-3), Legwand (-4), Fiddler (-4), Tootoo (-8), and Jerred Smithson (-9) finished in the minuses. Radek Bonk was a team-worst -31.
As a group, the Predators’ forwards have 431 games of playoff experience.
Martin Gelinas leads the way with 147, 11 of which came against the Wings. He has 7 points over those 11 games, but his total playoff production is 56 points, 23 of which were goals. Due to his knee, however, he won’t play in this series.
Jason Arnott is the second-most experience forward with regard to the playoffs, having appeared in 96 post-season games. He has never faced the Wings in the post-season. His 63 career playoff points are a high on Nashville.
The Predators’ forward corps has elements of size, with Jason Arnott leading the group at 6′4″, 220 lbs. Radek Bonk is not far behind at 6′3″ 213. Darcy Hordichuk (215), JP Dumont (205), Vernon Fiddler (204), and Jan Hlavac (201) all crack 200 pounds. A further five players weigh in at 190 or more.
Defense
Marek Zidlicky led the team with 43 points, 38 of which were assists. Ryan Suter’s 31 points were good for second. Dan Hamhuis (27) and Shea Weber (20) were the only other defensemen to crack 20 points.
Ville Koistinen finished with 17 points and Greg De Vries finished with 15, but Greg Zanon ended up with just five assists.
The defense accounted for 19 of the Preds’ total team goals-for.
Koistinen led the defense in plus-minues with a +13. De Vries was +7 and Suter was +3.
The rest of the blueline finished in the minuses: Hamhuis (-4), Zanon (-5), Zidlicky (-5), and Weber (-6).
The defense has 148 games of playoff exeperience, most of which were logged by De Vries (105) during his years with Colorado.
Dan Hamhuis has appeared in all 16 Nashville playoff games.
De Vries is the heaviest Nashville defender at 215 lbs, but the 213-lb, 6′3″ Weber is the tallest. Zanon (211), Hamhuis (211) and Suter (200) break 200 lbs, but Zidlicky and Koistinen are pegged at 190.
Hamhuis is the big TOI guy, with an average of 22:43 minutes per game. Zidlicky and Suter average 20:49 and 20:34, respectively. Weber, De Vries and Zanon are good for 19:00, give or take 30 seconds.
Goaltending
Dan Ellis has been pegged as the starter for this series. He finished 23-10-3 and appeared in 44 games. He posted a 2.34 GAA and .924 save-percentage.
His colleague, Chris Mason, went 18-22-6, appearing in 51 games and posting a 2.90 GAA and .898 save-percentage.
Mason and Ellis have five games of playoff experience between them and all of them belong to Mason. He posted a 1-4 record in last year’s playoffs. Ellis has just 45 NHL games of any kind under his belt.
Injuries
The Predators lost 238 man-games to injury. 82 of those were because of Steve Sullivan’s back injury, which has had him out indefinitely.
Currently, Nashville is without Gelinas (knee, season), Ortmeyer (knee, season), and Legwand (foot, day-to-day).
Legwand practiced yesterday, but his status for tonight is “doubtful.”
Resources
Pred-Joe
Official blog
LadyPredator
On the Forecheck
The Tennessean blog
The Detroit side of the preview is after the jump. Continue reading ‘Series Preview: 1 Detroit vs. 8 Nashville’


