Archive for August, 2004

Detroit Red Wings Draft Success: 1963-2002

This is a follow-up to my original article, “Draft Success of all Teams in NHL History: 1963-2002.” I will make an in-depth analysis of the draft history of the Detroit Red Wings, highlighting the best and worst draft picks/years. In my league-wide draft study, I used games played in the NHL by each teams’ draftees as the basis of draft success. While this method was not fool-proof, I saw it as a great way to measure a team’s draft success and overall draft instinct in picking players who actually make the big leagues, whether or not with the team that drafted them. It was meant to show a team’s affinity to draft future NHL players.

In this Red Wings draft analysis, I will use a variety of variables to measure the Wings’ best and worst drafting years, namely regular season games played in the NHL, goals, assists, points, and penalty minutes. For goalies, I will use games played, career goals against average, minutes played, and save percentage (whenever possible). The save percentage statistic has only been kept since the 1976-77 season, and, even after that point, there are many missing numbers. Hockey fans generally give more credence to save percentage over goals against average.

I used HockeyDB and hockeygoalies.org for my data. I also used the hockey statistics database of hockeyDB, downloadable here. My hope is to show why the Wings rank 10/31 in my overall franchise ranking:

10. Detroit Red Wings (1963-2004): 141/372 [37.9%] made NHL, 125.8 average games played [46,801 total games] – 40 draft years, 3.5 NHL players/draft – 3 Stanley Cups

Red Wings Draft History

1963
2 L Pete Mahovlich – 884 games, 288 goals, 485 assists, 773 points, 916 PIM
8 Bill Cosburn – no NHL experience
totals: 2 players, 884 games, 288 goals, 485 assists, 773 points, 916 PIM
averages: 442 games, 144 goals, 242.5 assists, 386.5 points, 458 PIM per draftee, .87 pts/game

1964
1 Claude Gauthier – no NHL experience
7 L Brian Watts – 4 games, 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points, 0 PIM
13 D Ralph Buchanan – no NHL experience
19 C Rene LeClerc – 87 games, 10 goals, 11 assists, 21 points, 105 PIM
totals: 4 players, 91 games, 10 goals, 11 assists, 21 points, 105 PIM
averages: 22.75 games, 2.5 goals, 2.75 assists, 5.25 points, 26.25 PIM per draftee, .23 pts/game

1965
3 George Forgie – no NHL experience
8 R Bob Birdsell – no NHL experience
totals: 2 players, 0 games, 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points, 0 PIM
averages: 0 games, 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points, 0 PIM per draftee, 0 pts/game

1966
6 R Steve Atkinson – 302 games, 60 goals, 51 assists, 111 points, 104 PIM
12 D Jim Whittaker – no NHL experience
18 D Lee Carpenter – no NHL experience
24 G Grant Cole – no NHL experience
totals: 4 players, 302 games, 60 goals, 51 assists, 111 points, 104 PIM
averages: 75.5 games, 15 goals, 12.75 assists, 27.75 points, 26 PIM per draftee, .37 pts/game

1967
9 Ron Barkwell – no NHL experience
17 C Al Karlander – 212 games, 36 goals, 56 assists, 92 points, 70 PIM
totals: 2 players, 212 games, 36 goals, 56 assists, 92 points, 70 PIM
averages: 106 games, 18 goals, 28 assists, 46 points, 35 PIM per draftee, .43 pts/game

1968
11 R Steve Andrascik – no NHL experience
17 R Herb Boxer – no NHL experience
totals: 2 players, 0 games, 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points, 0 PIM
averages: 0 games, 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points, 0 PIM per draftee, 0 pts/game

1969
10 G Jim Rutherford – 457 games, 25895 minutes, 3.65 GAA, 15 assists, 62 PIM
21 L Ron Garwasiuk – no NHL experience
33 C Wayne Hawrysh – no NHL experience
45 Wayne Chernecki – no NHL experience
57 D Wally Olds – no NHL experience
totals: 5 players, 457 games, 0 goals, 15 assists, 15 points, 62 PIM, 457 goalie games, 25895 minutes, 3.65 GAA
averages: 91.4 games, 0 goals, 3 assists, 3 points, 12.4 PIM per draftee, .03 pts/game

1970
12 D Serge Lajeunesse – 103 games, 1 goals, 4 assists, 5 points, 103 PIM
26 L Bob Guindon – 6 games, 0 goals, 1 assists, 1 points, 0 PIM
40 L Yvon Lambert – 683 games, 206 goals, 273 assists, 479 points, 340 PIM
54 Tom Johnston – no NHL experience
68 D Tom Mellor – 26 games, 2 goals, 4 assists, 6 points, 25 PIM
82 C Bernie MacNeil – 4 games, 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points, 0 PIM
95 Ed Hays – no NHL experience
totals: 7 players, 822 games, 209 goals, 282 assists, 491 points, 468 PIM
averages: 117.43 games, 29.86 goals, 40.29 assists, 70.14 points, 66.86 PIM per draftee, .60 pts/game

1971
2 F Marcel Dionne – 1348 games, 731 goals, 1040 assists, 1771 points, 600 PIM
16 C Henry Boucha – 247 games, 53 goals, 49 assists, 102 points, 157 PIM
44 G George Hulme – no NHL experience
58 R Earl Anderson – 109 games, 19 goals, 19 assists, 38 points, 22 PIM
72 D Charlie Shaw – no NHL experience
86 D Jim Nahrgang – 57 games, 5 goals, 12 assists, 17 points, 34 PIM
100 D Bob Boyd – no NHL experience
totals: 7 players, 1761 games, 808 goals, 1120 assists, 1928 points, 813 PIM
averages: 251.57 games, 115.43 goals, 160 assists, 275.43 points, 116.14 PIM per draftee, 1.09 pts/game

1972
26 L Pierre Guite – no NHL experience
42 R Bob Krieger – no NHL experience
58 L Danny Gruen – 49 games, 9 goals, 13 assists, 22 points, 19 PIM
74 L Dennis Johnson – no NHL experience
90 Bill Miller – no NHL experience
106 G Glen Seperich – no NHL experience
122 D Mike Ford – no NHL experience
138 D George Kuzmicz – no NHL experience
150 Dave Arundel – no NHL experience
totals: 9 players, 49 games, 9 goals, 13 assists, 22 points, 19 PIM
averages: 5.44 games, 1 goals, 1.44 assists, 2.44 points, 2.11 PIM per draftee, .45 pts/game

1973
11 G Terry Richardson – 20 games, 906 minutes, 5.63 GAA, 1 assist, 6 PIM
39 C Nelson Pyatt – 296 games, 71 goals, 63 assists, 134 points, 69 PIM
43 F Robbie Neale – no NHL experience
59 D Mike Korney – 77 games, 9 goals, 10 assists, 19 points, 59 PIM
75 F Blair Stewart – 229 games, 34 goals, 44 assists, 78 points, 326 PIM
91 Glen Cickello – no NHL experience
107 Brian Middleton – no NHL experience
118 C Dennis Polonich – 390 games, 59 goals, 82 assists, 141 points, 1242 PIM
123 F George Lyle – 99 games, 24 goals, 38 assists, 62 points, 51 PIM
135 Dennis O’Brien – no NHL experience
138 Tom Newman – no NHL experience
139 Ray Bibeau – no NHL experience
151 G Kevin Neville – no NHL experience
154 D Ken Gibb – no NHL experience
155 Mitch Brandt – no NHL experience
totals: 15 players, 1111 games, 197 goals, 238 assists, 435 points, 1753 PIM, 20 goalie games, 906 minutes, 5.63 GAA
averages: 74.07 games, 13.13 goals, 15.87 assists, 29 points, 116.87 PIM per draftee, .39 pts/game

1974
9 F Bill Lochead – 330 games, 69 goals, 62 assists, 131 points, 180 PIM
44 Dan Mandryk – no NHL experience
45 L Bill Evo – no NHL experience
63 R Michel Bergeron – 229 games, 80 goals, 58 assists, 138 points, 165 PIM
81 D John Taft – 15 games, 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points, 4 PIM
99 F Don Dufek – no NHL experience
117 F Jack Carlson – 236 games, 30 goals, 15 assists, 45 points, 417 PIM
134 D Greg Steel – no NHL experience
151 D Glen McLeod – no NHL experience
totals: 9 players, 810 games, 179 goals, 137 assists, 316 points, 766 PIM
averages: 90 games, 19.89 goals, 15.22 assists, 35.11 points, 85.11 PIM per draftee, .39 pts/game

1975
5 D Rick Lapointe – 664 games, 44 goals, 176 assists, 220 points, 831 PIM
23 D Jerry Rollins – no NHL experience
37 D Al Cameron – 282 games, 11 goals, 44 assists, 55 points, 356 PIM
45 Blair Davidson – no NHL experience
50 C Clark Hamilton – no NHL experience
59 D Mike Wirachowsky – no NHL experience
77 C Mike Wong – 22 games, 1 goals, 1 assists, 2 points, 12 PIM
95 D Mike Harazny – no NHL experience
113 C Jean-Luc Phaneuf – no NHL experience
131 F Steve Carlson – 52 games, 9 goals, 12 assists, 21 points, 23 PIM
148 Gary Vaughan – no NHL experience
164 Jean Thibodeau – no NHL experience
176 Dave Hanson – no NHL experience
178 Robin Larson – no NHL experience
totals: 14 players, 1020 games, 65 goals, 233 assists, 298 points, 1222 PIM
averages: 72.86 games, 4.64 goals, 16.64 assists, 21.29 points, 87.29 PIM per draftee, .29 pts/game

1976
4 Fred Williams – 44 games, 2 goals, 5 assists, 7 points, 10 PIM
22 D Reed Larson – 904 games, 222 goals, 463 assists, 685 points, 1391 PIM
40 C Fred Berry – 3 games, o goals, 0 assists, 0 points, 0 PIM
58 R Kevin Schamehorn – 10 games, 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points, 17 PIM
76 D Dwight Schofield – 211 games, 8 goals, 22 assists, 30 points, 631 PIM
94 D Tony Horvath – no NHL experience
111 Fern LeBlanc – 34 games, 5 goals, 6 assists, 11 points, 0 PIM
120 G Claude Legris – 4 games, 91 minutes, 2.64 GAA
totals: 8 players, 1210 games, 237 goals, 496 assists, 733 points, 2049 PIM, 4 goalie games, 91 minutes, 2.64 GAA
averages: 151.25 games, 29.625 goals, 62 assists, 91.63 points, 256.13 PIM per draftee, .61 pts/game

1977
1 F Dale McCourt – 532 games, 194 goals, 284 assists, 478 points, 124 PIM
37 Rick Vasko – 31 games, 3 goals, 7 assists, 10 points, 29 PIM
55 D John Hilworth – 57 games, 1 goals, 1 assists, 2 points, 89 PIM
73 D Jim Korn – 596 games, 66 goals, 122 assists, 188 points, 1801 PIM
91 G Jim Baxter – no NHL experience
109 W Randy Wilson – no NHL experience
125 C Ray Roy – no NHL experience
141 C Kip Churchill – no NHL experience
155 Lance Gatoni – no NHL experience
163 C Rob Plumb – 14 games, 3 goals, 2 assists, 5 points, 2 PIM
170 Alain Belanger – no NHL experience
175 L Dean Willers – no NHL experience
178 C Roland Cloutier – 34 games, 8 goals, 9 assists, 17 points, 2 PIM
181 Ed Hill – no NHL experience
184 L Val James – 11 games, 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points, 30 PIM
185 R Grant Morin – no NHL experience
totals: 16 players, 1275 games, 275 goals, 425 assists, 700 points, 2077 PIM
averages: 79.69 games, 17.19 goals, 26.56 assists, 43.75 points, 129.81 PIM per draftee, .55 pts/game

1978
9 D Willie Huber – 655 games, 104 goals, 217 assists, 321 points, 950 PIM
12 F Brent Peterson – 620 games, 72 goals, 141 assists, 213 points, 484 PIM
28 L Glenn Hicks – 108 games, 6 goals, 12 assists, 18 points, 127 PIM
31 G Al Jensen – 179 games, 9974 minutes, 3.35 GAA, 4 assists, 44 PIM
53 C Doug Derkson – no NHL experience
62 Bjorn Skaare – 1 games, 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points, 0 PIM
78 L Ted Nolan – 78 games, 6 goals, 16 assists, 22 points, 105 PIM
95 C Sylvain Locas – no NHL experience
112 L Wes George – no NHL experience
129 D John Barrett – 488 games, 20 goals, 77 assists, 97 points, 604 PIM
146 Jim Malazdrewicz – no NHL experience
163 Geoff Shaw – no NHL experience
178 Carl Van Harrewyn – no NHL experience
194 Ladislav Svozil – no NHL experience
208 Tom Bailey – no NHL experience
219 G Larry Lozinski – 30 games, 1459 minutes, 4.32 GAA, 1 assist
224 L Randy Betty – no NHL experience
226 Brian Crawley – no NHL experience
228 Doug Feasby – no NHL experience
totals: 19 players, 2159 games, 208 goals, 468 assists, 676 points, 2314 PIM, 209 goalie games, 11433 minutes, 3.35 + 4.32 GAA
averages: 113.63 games, 10.95 goals, 24.63 assists, 35.58 points, 121.79 PIM per draftee, .31 pts/game

1979
3 F Mike Foligno – 1018 games, 355 goals, 372 assists, 727 points, 2049 PIM
45 R Jody Gage – 68 games, 14 goals, 15 assists, 29 points, 26 PIM
46 Boris Fistric – no NHL experience
66 F John Ogrodnick – 928 games, 402 goals, 425 assists, 827 points, 260 PIM
87 L Joe Paterson – 291 games, 19 goals, 37 assists, 56 points, 831 PIM
108 L Carmine Cirella – no NHL experience
totals: 6 players, 2305 games, 790 goals, 849 assists, 1639 points, 3166 PIM
averages: 384.17 games, 131.67 goals, 141.5 assists, 273.17 points, 527.67 PIM per draftee, .71 pts/game

1980
11 R Mike Blaisdell – 343 games, 70 goals, 84 assists, 154 points, 166 PIM
46 L Mark Osborne – 919 games, 212 goals, 320 assists, 532 points, 1152 PIM
88 Mike Corrigan – no NHL experience
109 C Wayne Crawford – no NHL experience
130 Mike Braun – no NHL experience
151 D John Beukeboom – no NHL experience
172 Dave Miles – no NHL experience
193 R Brian Rorabeck – no NHL experience
totals: 8 players, 1262 games, 282 goals, 404 assists, 686 points, 1318 PIM
averages: 157.75 games, 35.25 goals, 50.5 assists, 85.75 points, 164.75 PIM per draftee, .54 pts/game

1981
23 F Claude Loiselle – 616 games, 92 goals, 117 assists, 209 points, 1149 PIM
44 G Corrado Micalef – 113 games, 5794 minutes, 4.24 GAA, 6 assists, 43 PIM
86 D Larry Trader – 91 games, 5 goals, 13 assists, 18 points, 74 PIM
107 L Gerard Gallant – 615 games, 211 goals, 269 assists, 480 points, 1677 PIM
128 G Greg Stefan – 299 games, 16333 minutes, 3.92 GAA, 15 assists, 200 PIM
149 D Rick Zombo – 652 games, 24 goals, 130 assists, 154 points, 728 PIM
170 Don Leblanc – no NHL experience
191 D Robert Nordmark – 236 games, 13 goals, 70 assists, 83 points, 254 PIM
totals: 8 players, 2622 games, 345 goals, 614 assists, 959 points, 4082 PIM, 412 goalie games, 22127 minutes, 4.24 + 3.92 GAA
averages: 327.75 games, 43.13 goals, 76.75 assists, 119.88 points, 510.25 PIM per draftee, .37 pts/game

1982
17 L Murray Craven – 1071 games, 266 goals, 493 assists, 759 points, 524 PIM
23 R Yves Courteau – 22 games, 2 goals, 5 assists, 7 points, 4 PIM
44 F Carmine Vani – no NHL experience
66 C Craig Coxe – 235 games, 14 goals, 31 assists, 45 points, 713 PIM
86 D Brad Shaw – 377 games, 22 goals, 137 assists, 159 points, 208 PIM
107 R Claude Vilgrain – 89 games, 21 goals, 32 assists, 53 points, 78 PIM
128 Greg Hudas – no NHL experience
149 Pat Lahey – no NHL experience
170 Gary Cullen – no NHL experience
191 Brent Meckling – no NHL experience
212 F Mike Stern – no NHL experience
233 Shaun Reagan – no NHL experience
totals: 12 players, 1794 games, 325 goals, 698 assists, 1023 points, 1527 PIM
averages: 149.5 games, 27.08 goals, 58.17 assists, 85.25 points, 127.25 PIM per draftee, .57 pts/game

1983
4 C Steve Yzerman – 1453 games, 678 goals, 1043 assists, 1721 points, 906 PIM
25 R Lane Lambert – 283 games, 58 goals, 67 assists, 125 points, 521 PIM
46 L Bob Probert – 935 games, 163 goals, 221 assists, 384 points, 3300 PIM
68 D Dave Korol – no NHL experience
86 L Petr Klima – 786 games, 313 goals, 260 assists, 573 points, 671 PIM
88 R Joey Kocur – 820 games, 80 goals, 82 assists, 162 points, 2519 PIM
106 G Chris Pusey – 1 games, 40 minutes, 4.50 GAA
126 Bob Pierson – no NHL experience
146 Craig Butz – no NHL experience
166 D Dave Sikorski – no NHL experience
186 L Stu Grimson – 729 games, 17 goals, 22 assists, 39 points, 2113 PIM
206 Jeff Frank – no NHL experience
226 Chuck Chiatto – no NHL experience
totals: 13 players, 5007 games, 1309 goals, 1695 assists, 3004 points, 10030 PIM, 1 goalie games, 40 minutes, 4.50 GAA
averages: 385.15 games, 100.69 goals, 130.38 assists, 231.08 points, 771.54 PIM per draftee, .60 pts/game

1984
7 L Shawn Burr – 878 games, 181 goals, 259 assists, 440 points, 1069 PIM
28 D Doug Houda – 561 games, 19 goals, 63 assists, 82 points, 1104 PIM
49 D Milan Chalupa – 12 games, 0 goals, 5 assists, 5 points, 6 PIM
91 F Mats Lundstrom – no NHL experience
112 G Randy Hansch – no NHL experience
133 D Stefan Larsson – no NHL experience
152 F Lars Karlsson – no NHL experience
154 F Urban Nordin – no NHL experience
175 F Bill Shibicky – no NHL experience
195 D Jay Rose – no NHL experience
216 F Tim Kaiser – no NHL experience
236 F Tom Nickolau – no NHL experience
totals: 12 players, 1451 games, 200 goals, 327 assists, 527 points, 2179 PIM
averages: 120.92 games, 16.67 goals, 27.25 assists, 43.92 points, 181.58 PIM per draftee, .36 pts/game

1985
8 R Brent Fedyk – 470 games, 97 goals, 112 assists, 209 points, 308 PIM
29 D Jeff Sharples – 105 games, 14 goals, 35 assists, 49 points, 70 PIM
50 D Steve Chiasson – 751 games, 93 goals, 305 assists, 398 points, 1107 PIM
71 G Mark Gowens – no NHL experience
92 D Chris Luongo – 218 games, 8 goals, 23 assists, 31 points, 176 PIM
113 R Randy McKay – 932 games, 162 goals, 201 assists, 363 points, 1731 PIM
134 Thomas Bjuhr – no NHL experience
155 Mike Luckraft – no NHL experience
176 D Rob Schena – no NHL experience
197 D Erik Hamalainen – no NHL experience
218 C Bo Svanberg – no NHL experience
239 D Mikael Lindman – no NHL experience
totals: 12 players, 2476 games, 374 goals, 676 assists, 1050 points, 3392 PIM
averages: 206.33 games, 31.17 goals, 56.33 assists, 87.5 points, 282.67 PIM per draftee, .42 pts/game

1986
1 R Joe Murphy – 779 games, 233 goals, 295 assists, 528 points, 810 PIM
22 L Adam Graves – 1152 games, 329 goals, 287 assists, 616 points, 1224 PIM
43 D Derek Mayer – 17 games, 2 goals, 2 assists, 4 points, 8 PIM
64 G Tim Cheveldae – 340 games, 19171 minutes, 3.49 GAA, .883 SV%, 16 assists, 18 PIM
85 L Johan Garpenlov – 609 games, 114 goals, 196 assists, 310 points, 276 PIM
106 Jay Stark – no NHL experience
127 D Par Djoos – 82 games, 2 goals, 31 assists, 33 points, 58 PIM
148 D Dean Morton – 1 games, 1 goals, 0 assists, 1 points, 2 PIM
169 R Marc Potvin – 121 games, 3 goals, 5 assists, 8 points, 456 PIM
190 G Scott King – 2 games, 61 minutes, 2.95 GAA, .813 SV%,
211 L Tom Bissett – 5 games, 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points, 0 PIM
232 Peter Ekroth – no NHL experience
totals: 12 players, 3108 games, 684 goals, 832 assists, 1516 points, 2852 PIM, 342 goalie games, 19232 minutes, 3.49 + 2.95 GAA, .883 + .813 SV%
averages: 259 games, 57 goals, 69.33 assists, 126.33 points, 237.67 PIM per draftee, .49 pts/game

1987
11 D Yves Racine – 508 games, 37 goals, 194 assists, 231 points, 439 PIM
32 D Gord Kruppke – 23 games, 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points, 32 PIM
41 D Bob Wilkie – 18 games, 2 goals, 5 assists, 7 points, 10 PIM
52 C Dennis Holland – no NHL experience
74 G Mark Reimer – no NHL experience
95 Radomir Brazda – no NHL experience
116 Sean Clifford – no NHL experience
137 L Mike Gober – no NHL experience
158 L Kevin Scott – no NHL experience
179 Mikko Haapakoski – no NHL experience
200 D Darin Banister – no NHL experience
221 Craig Quinlan – no NHL experience
242 Tomas Jansson – no NHL experience
totals: 13 players, 549 games, 39 goals, 199 assists, 238 points, 481 PIM
averages: 42.23 games, 3 goals, 15.31 assists, 18.31 points, 37 PIM per draftee, .43 pts/game

1988
17 R Kory Kocur – no NHL experience
38 D Serge Anglehart – no NHL experience
47 D Guy Dupuis – no NHL experience
59 R Petr Hrbek – no NHL experience
80 R Sheldon Kennedy – 310 games, 49 goals, 58 assists, 107 points, 233 PIM
143 R Kelly Hurd – no NHL experience
164 Brian McCormack – no NHL experience
185 D Jody Praznik – no NHL experience
206 C Glen Goodall – no NHL experience
227 R Darren Colbourne – no NHL experience
248 C Don Stone – no NHL experience
totals: 11 players, 310 games, 49 goals, 58 assists, 107 points, 233 PIM
averages: 28.18 games, 4.45 goals, 5.27 assists, 9.73 points, 21.18 PIM per draftee, .35 pts/game

1989
11 C Mike Sillinger – 829 games, 166 goals, 232 assists, 398 points, 507 PIM
32 D Bob Boughner – 589 games, 14 goals, 51 assists, 65 points, 1328 PIM
53 D Nicklas Lidstrom – 1016 games, 173 goals, 553 assists, 726 points, 276 PIM
74 C Sergei Fedorov – 988 games, 431 goals, 588 assists, 1019 points, 629 PIM
95 C Shawn McCosh – 9 games, 1 goals, 0 assists, 1 points, 6 PIM
116 R Dallas Drake – 822 games, 166 goals, 267 assists, 433 points, 747 PIM
137 D Scott Zygulski – no NHL experience
158 D Andy Suhy – no NHL experience
179 Bob Jones – no NHL experience
200 D Greg Bignell – no NHL experience
204 L Rick Judson – no NHL experience
221 D Vladimir Konstantinov – 446 games, 47 goals, 127 assists, 174 points, 838 PIM
242 R Joe Frederick – no NHL experience
246 G Jason Glickman – no NHL experience
totals: 14 players, 4699 games, 998 goals, 1818 assists, 2816 points, 4331 PIM
averages: 335.64 games, 71.29 goals, 129.86 assists, 201.14 points, 309.36 PIM per draftee, .60 pts/game

1990
3 C Keith Primeau – 900 games, 265 goals, 347 assists, 612 points, 1535 PIM
45 L Vyacheslav Kozlov – 800 games, 252 goals, 307 assists, 559 points, 532 PIM
66 D Stewart Malgunas – 129 games, 1 goals, 5 assists, 6 points, 144 PIM
87 D Tony Burns – no NHL experience
108 D Claude Barthe – no NHL experience
129 D Jason York – 708 games, 41 goals, 180 assists, 221 points, 589 PIM
150 D Wes McCauley – no NHL experience
171 F Tony Gruba – no NHL experience
192 D Travis Tucker – no NHL experience
213 D Brett Larson – no NHL experience
234 L John Hendry – no NHL experience
totals: 11 players, 2537 games, 559 goals, 839 assists, 1398 points, 2800 PIM
averages: 230.64 games, 50.82 goals, 76.27 assists, 127.09 points, 254.54 PIM per draftee, .55 pts/game

1991
10 R Martin Lapointe – 757 games, 148 goals, 165 assists, 313 points, 1143 PIM
32 D Jamie Pushor – 517 games, 13 goals, 44 assists, 57 points, 648 PIM
54 G Chris Osgood – 568 games, 32604 minutes, 2.44 GAA, .907 SV%, 1 goal, 12 assists, 111 PIM
76 R Mike Knuble – 510 games, 101 goals, 107 assists, 208 points, 224 PIM
98 D Dmitri Motkov – no NHL experience
142 D Igor Malykhin – no NHL experience
186 C Jim Bermingham – no NHL experience
208 C Jason Firth – no NHL experience
230 Bart Turner – no NHL experience
252 C Andrew Miller – no NHL experience
totals: 10 players, 2352 games, 263 goals, 328 assists, 591 points, 2126 PIM, 568 goalie games, 32604 minutes, 2.44 GAA, .907 SV%
averages: 235.2 games, 26.3 goals, 32.8 assists, 59.1 points, 212.6 PIM per draftee, .25 pts/game

1992
22 L Curtis Bowen – no NHL experience
46 R Darren McCarty – 643 games, 119 goals, 154 assists, 273 points, 1275 PIM
70 C Sylvain Cloutier – 7 games, 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points, 0 PIM
118 C Mike Sullivan – no NHL experience
142 R Jason MacDonald – 4 games, 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points, 19 PIM
166 G Greg Scott – no NHL experience
183 D Justin Krall – no NHL experience
189 G C.J. Denomme – no NHL experience
214 Jeff Walker – no NHL experience
238 D Dan McGillis – 607 games, 56 goals, 176 assists, 232 points, 534 PIM
262 G Ryan Bach – 3 games, 108 minutes, 4.44 GAA, .879 SV%
totals: 11 players, 1264 games, 175 goals, 330 assists, 505 points, 1828 PIM, 3 goalie games, 108 minutes, 4.44 GAA, .879 SV%
averages: 114.91 games, 15.91 goals, 30 assists, 45.91 points, 166.18 PIM per draftee, .40 pts/game

1993
22 D Anders Eriksson – 412 games, 21 goals, 109 assists, 130 points, 158 PIM
48 D Jon Coleman – no NHL experience
74 C Kevin Hilton – no NHL experience
97 D John Jakopin – 113 games, 1 goals, 6 assists, 7 points, 145 PIM
100 D Benoit Larose – no NHL experience
126 G Norm Maracle – 66 games, 3430 minutes, 3.10 GAA, .897 SV%
152 Tim Spitzig – no NHL experience
178 D Yuri Yuresko – no NHL experience
204 D Vitezslav Skuta – no NHL experience
230 R Ryan Shanahan – no NHL experience
256 G Jamie Kosecki – no NHL experience
282 L Gordy Hunt – no NHL experience
totals: 12 players, 591 games, 22 goals, 115 assists, 137 points, 303 PIM, 66 goalie games, 3430 minutes, 3.10 GAA, .897 SV%
averages: 49.25 games, 1.83 goals, 9.58 assists, 11.42 points, 25.25 PIM per draftee, .23 pts/game

1994
23 D Yan Golubovsky – 56 games, 1 goals, 7 assists, 8 points, 32 PIM
49 R Mathieu Dandenault – 616 games, 48 goals, 101 assists, 149 points, 342 PIM
75 D Sean Gillam – no NHL experience
114 G Frederic Deschenes – no NHL experience
127 D Doug Battaglia – no NHL experience
153 F Pavel Agarkov – no NHL experience
205 G Jason Elliott – no NHL experience
231 C Jeff Mikesch – no NHL experience
257 L Tomas Holmstrom – 541 games, 96 goals, 140 assists, 236 points, 387 PIM
283 L Toivo Suursoo – no NHL experience
totals: 10 players, 1213 games, 145 goals, 248 assists, 393 points, 761 PIM
averages: 121.3 games, 14.5 goals, 24.8 assists, 39.3 points, 76.1 PIM per draftee, .32 pts/game

1995
26 D Maxim Kuznetsov – 136 games, 2 goals, 8 assists, 10 points, 137 PIM
52 L Philippe Audet – 4 games, 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points, 0 PIM
58 C Darryl Laplante – 35 games, 0 goals, 6 assists, 6 points, 10 PIM
104 F Anatoly Ustyugov – no NHL experience
125 D Chad Wilchynski – no NHL experience
126 G Dave Arsenault – no NHL experience
156 C Tyler Perry – no NHL experience
182 R Per Eklund – no NHL experience
208 F Andrei Samokhvalov – no NHL experience
234 L David Engblom – no NHL experience
totals: 10 players, 175 games, 2 goals, 14 assists, 16 points, 147 PIM
averages: 17.5 games, .2 goals, 1.4 assists, 1.6 points, 14.7 PIM per draftee, .09 pts/game

1996
26 D Jesse Wallin – 49 games, 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points, 34 PIM
52 G Aren Miller – no NHL experience
108 L Johan Forsander – no NHL experience
135 G Michal Podolka – no NHL experience
144 L Magnus Nilsson – no NHL experience
162 R Alexandre Jacques – no NHL experience
189 C Colin Beardsmore – no NHL experience
215 R Craig Stahl – no NHL experience
241 Evgeny Afanasiev no NHL experience
totals: 9 players, 49 games, 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points, 34 PIM
averages: 5.44 games, 0 goals, .22 assists, .22 points, 3.78 PIM per draftee, .04 pts/game

1997
49 L Yuri Butsayev – 99 games, 10 goals, 4 assists, 14 points, 28 PIM
76 C Petr Sykora – 2 games, 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points, 0 PIM
102 L Quintin Laing – 3 games, 0 goals, 1 assists, 1 points, 0 PIM
129 D John Wikstrom – no NHL experience
157 R B.J. Young – 1 games, 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points, 0 PIM
186 Mike Laceby – no NHL experience
213 Steve Wilejto – no NHL experience
239 D Greg Willers – no NHL experience
totals: 8 players, 105 games, 10 goals, 5 assists, 15 points, 28 PIM
averages: 13.13 games, 1.25 goals, .63 assists, 1.88 points, 3.5 PIM per draftee, .14 pts/game

1998
25 D Jiri Fischer – 283 games, 8 goals, 44 assists, 52 points, 262 PIM
55 L Ryan Barnes – 2 games, 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points, 0 PIM
56 L Tomek Valtonen – no NHL experience
84 G Jake McCracken – no NHL experience
111 L Brent Hobday – no NHL experience
142 L Calle Steen – no NHL experience
151 L Adam DeLeeuw – no NHL experience
171 C Pavel Datsyuk – 209 games, 53 goals, 101 assists, 154 points, 55 PIM
198 D Jeremy Goetzinger – no NHL experience
226 D David Petrasek – no NHL experience
256 Petja Pietilainen – no NHL experience
totals: 11 players, 494 games, 61 goals, 145 assists, 206 points, 317 PIM
averages: 44.91 games, 5.55 goals, 13.18 assists, 18.73 points, 28.82 PIM per draftee, .42 pts/game

1999
120 L Jari Tolsa – no NHL experience
149 Andrei Maximenko – no NHL experience
181 R Kent McDonell – 32 games, 1 goals, 2 assists, 3 points, 36 PIM
210 L Henrik Zetterberg – 140 games, 37 goals, 50 assists, 87 points, 22 PIM
238 L Anton Borodkin – no NHL experience
266 R Ken Davis – no NHL experience
totals: 6 players, 172 games, 38 goals, 52 assists, 90 points, 58 PIM
averages: 28.67 games, 6.33 goals, 8.67 assists, 15 points, 9.67 PIM per draftee, .52 pts/game

2000
29 D Niklas Kronwall – 20 games, 1 goals, 4 assists, 5 points, 16 PIM
38 C Tomas Kopecky – no NHL experience
102 G Stefan Liv – no NHL experience
127 Dmitri Semenov – no NHL experience
128 D Alexander Seluyanov – no NHL experience
130 R Aaron Van Leusen – no NHL experience
187 C Par Backer – no NHL experience
196 D Paul Ballantyne – no NHL experience
228 Jimmie Svensson – no NHL experience
251 F Todd Jackson – no NHL experience
260 Evgeni Bumagin – no NHL experience
totals: 11 players, 20 games, 1 goals, 4 assists, 5 points, 16 PIM
averages: 1.82 games, .09 goals, .36 assists, .45 points, 1.45 PIM per draftee, .25 pts/game

2001
62 Igor Grigorenko – no NHL experience
121 G Drew MacIntyre – no NHL experience
129 D Miroslav Blatak – no NHL experience
157 R Andreas Jamtin – no NHL experience
195 G Nick Pannoni – no NHL experience
258 D Dmitry Bykov – 71 games, 2 goals, 10 assists, 12 points, 43 PIM
288 D Francois Senez – no NHL experience
totals: 7 players, 71 games, 2 goals, 10 assists, 12 points, 43 PIM
averages: 10.14 games, .29 goals, 1.43 assists, 1.71 points, 6.14 PIM per draftee, .17 pts/game

2002
58 C Jiri Hudler – 12 games, 1 goals, 2 assists, 3 points, 10 PIM
63 C Tomas Fleischmann – no NHL experience
95 Valtteri Filppula – no NHL experience
131 D Johan Berggren – no NHL experience
166 G Logan Koopmans – no NHL experience
197 C Jimmy Cuddihy – no NHL experience
229 L Derek Meech – no NHL experience
260 D Pierre-Olivier Beaulie – no NHL experience
262 L Christian Soderstrom – no NHL experience
291 D Jonathan Ericsson – no NHL experience
totals: 10 players, 12 games, 1 goals, 2 assists, 3 points, 10 PIM
averages: 1.2 games, .1 goals, .2 assists, .3 points, 1 PIM per draftee, .25 pts/game

2003
64 G Jim Howard – no NHL experience
132 D Kyle Quincey – no NHL experience
164 C Ryan Oulahen – no NHL experience
170 R Andreas Sundin – no NHL experience
194 Stefan Blom – no NHL experience
226 L Tomas Kollar – no NHL experience
258 L Vladimir Kutny – no NHL experience
289 Mikael Johansson – no NHL experience
totals: 8 players, 0 games

2004
97 C Johan Franzen – no NHL experience
128 C Evan McGrath – no NHL experience
151 D Siarhei Kolasau – no NHL experience
162 C Tyler Haskins – no NHL experience
192 L Anton Axelsson – no NHL experience
226 R Steve Covington – no NHL experience
257 R Gennady Stolyarov – no NHL experience
290 D Nils Backstrom – no NHL experience
totals: 8 players, 0 games

Totals

*Note: Statistics are not counting 2003, 2004 drafts unless otherwise noted.

Draftees: 372 (1963-2002), 388 (1963-2004)
NHL Players: 141/372 [37.9%]
Games: 46,801 (125.8 average games played/draftee)
Goals: 9255 (24.88 goals/draftee, 231.38 goals/draft)
Assists: 14300 (38.44 assists/draftee, 357.5 assists/draft)
Points: 23555 (63.32 points/draftee, 588.88 points/draft, .5 pts/game)
PIM: 54296 (145.96 PIM/draftee, 1357.4 PIM/draftee)
Total Red Wings Games (1963-2004): 58713 (79.7% via draft)
Total Red Wings Goals (1963-2004): 10730 (86.3% via draft)
Total Red Wings Assists (1963-2004): 17733 (80.6% via draft)
Total Red Wings Points (1963-2004): 28463 (82.8% via draft)
Total Red Wings PIM (1963-2004): 55446 (97.9% via draft)
Total Red Wings +/- (1963-2004): +4789
Total Red Wings Powerplay goals (1963-2004): 2586
Total Red Wings Shorthanded goals (1963-2004): 429
Total Red Wings Shots (1963-2003): 89787
Total Red Wings Goal Percentage (1963-2003): 12.0%
Goalies Drafted: 34
Goalies Made NHL: 13 (38.24% of drafted goalies made NHL)
Goalie Games: 2082 (4.45% of total draftee games)
Minutes: 115866 (3407 minutes/drafted goalie, 8912 minutes/NHL goalie)
GAA: 48.67/13 = 3.74
SV%: (N/A: only viable statistic since 1976-77 season)
Rankings (1963-2002): 10/31 Franchise, 15/41 Clubs, 11/21 Vintage, 5/6 Original Six
Years (1963-2002): 40, 3.5 NHL players/draft
Stanley Cups: 3

Diamonds in the Rough

To be considered a diamond in the rough, the player must be picked in the second half of their respective draft and produce commendable numbers. Note: they don’t have to necessarily be a superstar to be considered a “diamond.” For example, they could be a 10 karat diamond, a 100 karat diamond, or somewhere in between:

1973: 118 C Dennis Polonich – 390 games, 59 goals, 82 assists, 141 points, 1242 PIM
1978: 129 D John Barrett – 488 games, 20 goals, 77 assists, 97 points, 604 PIM
1981: 128 G Greg Stefan – 299 games, 16333 minutes, 3.92 GAA, 15 assists, 200 PIM
149 D Rick Zombo – 652 games, 24 goals, 130 assists, 154 points, 728 PIM
191 D Robert Nordmark – 236 games, 13 goals, 70 assists, 83 points, 254 PIM
1983: 186 L Stu Grimson – 729 games, 17 goals, 22 assists, 39 points, 2113 PIM
1989: 221 D Vladimir Konstantinov – 446 games, 47 goals, 127 assists, 174 points, 838 PIM
1990: 129 D Jason York – 708 games, 41 goals, 180 assists, 221 points, 589 PIM
1992: 238 D Dan McGillis – 607 games, 56 goals, 176 assists, 232 points, 534 PIM
1994: 257 L Tomas Holmstrom – 541 games, 96 goals, 140 assists, 236 points, 387 PIM
1998: 171 C Pavel Datsyuk – 209 games, 53 goals, 101 assists, 154 points, 55 PIM
1999: 210 L Henrik Zetterberg – 140 games, 37 goals, 50 assists, 87 points, 22 PIM


Bombs

The players that turn out to be busts when picked early in the draft shall be named in this section. I won’t go through the first half of the draft and name every player who never made the NHL. Rather, I will pick the most notable disappointments, in the range of picks 1-35:

1964: 1 Claude Gauthier – no NHL experience
1970: 26 L Bob Guindon – 6 games, 0 goals, 1 assists, 1 points, 0 PIM
1972: 26 L Pierre Guite – no NHL experience
1973: 11 G Terry Richardson – 20 games, 906 minutes, 5.63 GAA, 1 assist, 6 PIM
1976: 4 Fred Williams – 44 games, 2 goals, 5 assists, 7 points, 10 PIM
1982: 23 R Yves Courteau – 22 games, 2 goals, 5 assists, 7 points, 4 PIM
1987: 32 D Gord Kruppke – 23 games, 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points, 32 PIM
1988: 17 R Kory Kocur – no NHL experience
1992: 22 L Curtis Bowen – no NHL experience

Best Draft Years

In chronological order, these are the 10 best drafts the Wings have had:

1971
2 F Marcel Dionne – 1348 games, 731 goals, 1040 assists, 1771 points, 600 PIM
16 C Henry Boucha – 247 games, 53 goals, 49 assists, 102 points, 157 PIM
44 G George Hulme – no NHL experience
58 R Earl Anderson – 109 games, 19 goals, 19 assists, 38 points, 22 PIM
72 D Charlie Shaw – no NHL experience
86 D Jim Nahrgang – 57 games, 5 goals, 12 assists, 17 points, 34 PIM
100 D Bob Boyd – no NHL experience
totals: 7 players, 1761 games, 808 goals, 1120 assists, 1928 points, 813 PIM
averages: 251.57 games, 115.43 goals, 160 assists, 275.43 points, 116.14 PIM per draftee, 1.09 pts/game

1978
9 D Willie Huber – 655 games, 104 goals, 217 assists, 321 points, 950 PIM
12 F Brent Peterson – 620 games, 72 goals, 141 assists, 213 points, 484 PIM
28 L Glenn Hicks – 108 games, 6 goals, 12 assists, 18 points, 127 PIM
31 G Al Jensen – 179 games, 9974 minutes, 3.35 GAA, 4 assists, 44 PIM
53 C Doug Derkson – no NHL experience
62 Bjorn Skaare – 1 games, 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points, 0 PIM
78 L Ted Nolan – 78 games, 6 goals, 16 assists, 22 points, 105 PIM
95 C Sylvain Locas – no NHL experience
112 L Wes George – no NHL experience
129 D John Barrett – 488 games, 20 goals, 77 assists, 97 points, 604 PIM
146 Jim Malazdrewicz – no NHL experience
163 Geoff Shaw – no NHL experience
178 Carl Van Harrewyn – no NHL experience
194 Ladislav Svozil – no NHL experience
208 Tom Bailey – no NHL experience
219 G Larry Lozinski – 30 games, 1459 minutes, 4.32 GAA, 1 assist
224 L Randy Betty – no NHL experience
226 Brian Crawley – no NHL experience
228 Doug Feasby – no NHL experience
totals: 19 players, 2159 games, 208 goals, 468 assists, 676 points, 2314 PIM, 209 goalie games, 11433 minutes, 3.35 + 4.32 GAA
averages: 113.63 games, 10.95 goals, 24.63 assists, 35.58 points, 121.79 PIM per draftee, .31 pts/game

1979
3 F Mike Foligno – 1018 games, 355 goals, 372 assists, 727 points, 2049 PIM
45 R Jody Gage – 68 games, 14 goals, 15 assists, 29 points, 26 PIM
46 Boris Fistric – no NHL experience
66 F John Ogrodnick – 928 games, 402 goals, 425 assists, 827 points, 260 PIM
87 L Joe Paterson – 291 games, 19 goals, 37 assists, 56 points, 831 PIM
108 L Carmine Cirella – no NHL experience
totals: 6 players, 2305 games, 790 goals, 849 assists, 1639 points, 3166 PIM
averages: 384.17 games, 131.67 goals, 141.5 assists, 273.17 points, 527.67 PIM per draftee, .71 pts/game

1981
23 F Claude Loiselle – 616 games, 92 goals, 117 assists, 209 points, 1149 PIM
44 G Corrado Micalef – 113 games, 5794 minutes, 4.24 GAA, 6 assists, 43 PIM
86 D Larry Trader – 91 games, 5 goals, 13 assists, 18 points, 74 PIM
107 L Gerard Gallant – 615 games, 211 goals, 269 assists, 480 points, 1677 PIM
128 G Greg Stefan – 299 games, 16333 minutes, 3.92 GAA, 15 assists, 200 PIM
149 D Rick Zombo – 652 games, 24 goals, 130 assists, 154 points, 728 PIM
170 Don Leblanc – no NHL experience
191 D Robert Nordmark – 236 games, 13 goals, 70 assists, 83 points, 254 PIM
totals: 8 players, 2622 games, 345 goals, 614 assists, 959 points, 4082 PIM, 412 goalie games, 22127 minutes, 4.24 + 3.92 GAA
averages: 327.75 games, 43.13 goals, 76.75 assists, 119.88 points, 510.25 PIM per draftee, .37 pts/game

1983
4 C Steve Yzerman – 1453 games, 678 goals, 1043 assists, 1721 points, 906 PIM
25 R Lane Lambert – 283 games, 58 goals, 67 assists, 125 points, 521 PIM
46 L Bob Probert – 935 games, 163 goals, 221 assists, 384 points, 3300 PIM
68 D Dave Korol – no NHL experience
86 L Petr Klima – 786 games, 313 goals, 260 assists, 573 points, 671 PIM
88 R Joey Kocur – 820 games, 80 goals, 82 assists, 162 points, 2519 PIM
106 G Chris Pusey – 1 games, 40 minutes, 4.50 GAA
126 Bob Pierson – no NHL experience
146 Craig Butz – no NHL experience
166 D Dave Sikorski – no NHL experience
186 L Stu Grimson – 729 games, 17 goals, 22 assists, 39 points, 2113 PIM
206 Jeff Frank – no NHL experience
226 Chuck Chiatto – no NHL experience
totals: 13 players, 5007 games, 1309 goals, 1695 assists, 3004 points, 10030 PIM, 1 goalie games, 40 minutes, 4.50 GAA
averages: 385.15 games, 100.69 goals, 130.38 assists, 231.08 points, 771.54 PIM per draftee, .60 pts/game

1985
8 R Brent Fedyk – 470 games, 97 goals, 112 assists, 209 points, 308 PIM
29 D Jeff Sharples – 105 games, 14 goals, 35 assists, 49 points, 70 PIM
50 D Steve Chiasson – 751 games, 93 goals, 305 assists, 398 points, 1107 PIM
71 G Mark Gowens – no NHL experience
92 D Chris Luongo – 218 games, 8 goals, 23 assists, 31 points, 176 PIM
113 R Randy McKay – 932 games, 162 goals, 201 assists, 363 points, 1731 PIM
134 Thomas Bjuhr – no NHL experience
155 Mike Luckraft – no NHL experience
176 D Rob Schena – no NHL experience
197 D Erik Hamalainen – no NHL experience
218 C Bo Svanberg – no NHL experience
239 D Mikael Lindman – no NHL experience
totals: 12 players, 2476 games, 374 goals, 676 assists, 1050 points, 3392 PIM
averages: 206.33 games, 31.17 goals, 56.33 assists, 87.5 points, 282.67 PIM per draftee, .42 pts/game

1986
1 R Joe Murphy – 779 games, 233 goals, 295 assists, 528 points, 810 PIM
22 L Adam Graves – 1152 games, 329 goals, 287 assists, 616 points, 1224 PIM
43 D Derek Mayer – 17 games, 2 goals, 2 assists, 4 points, 8 PIM
64 G Tim Cheveldae – 340 games, 19171 minutes, 3.49 GAA, .883 SV%, 16 assists, 18 PIM
85 L Johan Garpenlov – 609 games, 114 goals, 196 assists, 310 points, 276 PIM
106 Jay Stark – no NHL experience
127 D Par Djoos – 82 games, 2 goals, 31 assists, 33 points, 58 PIM
148 D Dean Morton – 1 games, 1 goals, 0 assists, 1 points, 2 PIM
169 R Marc Potvin – 121 games, 3 goals, 5 assists, 8 points, 456 PIM
190 G Scott King – 2 games, 61 minutes, 2.95 GAA, .813 SV%
211 L Tom Bissett – 5 games, 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points, 0 PIM
232 Peter Ekroth – no NHL experience
totals: 12 players, 3108 games, 684 goals, 832 assists, 1516 points, 2852 PIM, 342 goalie games, 19232 minutes, 3.49 + 2.95 GAA, .883 + .813 SV%
averages: 259 games, 57 goals, 69.33 assists, 126.33 points, 237.67 PIM per draftee, .49 pts/game

1989
11 C Mike Sillinger – 829 games, 166 goals, 232 assists, 398 points, 507 PIM
32 D Bob Boughner – 589 games, 14 goals, 51 assists, 65 points, 1328 PIM
53 D Nicklas Lidstrom – 1016 games, 173 goals, 553 assists, 726 points, 276 PIM
74 C Sergei Fedorov – 988 games, 431 goals, 588 assists, 1019 points, 629 PIM
95 C Shawn McCosh – 9 games, 1 goals, 0 assists, 1 points, 6 PIM
116 R Dallas Drake – 822 games, 166 goals, 267 assists, 433 points, 747 PIM
137 D Scott Zygulski – no NHL experience
158 D Andy Suhy – no NHL experience
179 Bob Jones – no NHL experience
200 D Greg Bignell – no NHL experience
204 L Rick Judson – no NHL experience
221 D Vladimir Konstantinov – 446 games, 47 goals, 127 assists, 174 points, 838 PIM
242 R Joe Frederick – no NHL experience
246 G Jason Glickman – no NHL experience
totals: 14 players, 4699 games, 998 goals, 1818 assists, 2816 points, 4331 PIM
averages: 335.64 games, 71.29 goals, 129.86 assists, 201.14 points, 309.36 PIM per draftee, .60 pts/game

1990
3 C Keith Primeau – 900 games, 265 goals, 347 assists, 612 points, 1535 PIM
45 L Vyacheslav Kozlov – 800 games, 252 goals, 307 assists, 559 points, 532 PIM
66 D Stewart Malgunas – 129 games, 1 goals, 5 assists, 6 points, 144 PIM
87 D Tony Burns – no NHL experience
108 D Claude Barthe – no NHL experience
129 D Jason York – 708 games, 41 goals, 180 assists, 221 points, 589 PIM
150 D Wes McCauley – no NHL experience
171 F Tony Gruba – no NHL experience
192 D Travis Tucker – no NHL experience
213 D Brett Larson – no NHL experience
234 L John Hendry – no NHL experience
totals: 11 players, 2537 games, 559 goals, 839 assists, 1398 points, 2800 PIM
averages: 230.64 games, 50.82 goals, 76.27 assists, 127.09 points, 254.54 PIM per draftee, .55 pts/game

1991
10 R Martin Lapointe – 757 games, 148 goals, 165 assists, 313 points, 1143 PIM
32 D Jamie Pushor – 517 games, 13 goals, 44 assists, 57 points, 648 PIM
54 G Chris Osgood – 568 games, 32604 minutes, 2.44 GAA, .907 SV%, 1 goal, 12 assists, 111 PIM
76 R Mike Knuble – 510 games, 101 goals, 107 assists, 208 points, 224 PIM
98 D Dmitri Motkov – no NHL experience
142 D Igor Malykhin – no NHL experience
186 C Jim Bermingham – no NHL experience
208 C Jason Firth – no NHL experience
230 Bart Turner – no NHL experience
252 C Andrew Miller – no NHL experience
totals: 10 players, 2352 games, 263 goals, 328 assists, 591 points, 2126 PIM, 568 goalie games, 32604 minutes, 2.44 GAA, .907 SV%
averages: 235.2 games, 26.3 goals, 32.8 assists, 59.1 points, 212.6 PIM per draftee, .25 pts/game

Worst Draft Years

These are the most notable bad drafts the Wings have had:

1972
26 L Pierre Guite – no NHL experience
42 R Bob Krieger – no NHL experience
58 L Danny Gruen – 49 games, 9 goals, 13 assists, 22 points, 19 PIM
74 L Dennis Johnson – no NHL experience
90 Bill Miller – no NHL experience
106 G Glen Seperich – no NHL experience
122 D Mike Ford – no NHL experience
138 D George Kuzmicz – no NHL experience
150 Dave Arundel – no NHL experience
totals: 9 players, 49 games, 9 goals, 13 assists, 22 points, 19 PIM
averages: 5.44 games, 1 goals, 1.44 assists, 2.44 points, 2.11 PIM per draftee, .45 pts/game

1987
11 D Yves Racine – 508 games, 37 goals, 194 assists, 231 points, 439 PIM
32 D Gord Kruppke – 23 games, 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points, 32 PIM
41 D Bob Wilkie – 18 games, 2 goals, 5 assists, 7 points, 10 PIM
52 C Dennis Holland – no NHL experience
74 G Mark Reimer – no NHL experience
95 Radomir Brazda – no NHL experience
116 Sean Clifford – no NHL experience
137 L Mike Gober – no NHL experience
158 L Kevin Scott – no NHL experience
179 Mikko Haapakoski – no NHL experience
200 D Darin Banister – no NHL experience
221 Craig Quinlan – no NHL experience
242 Tomas Jansson – no NHL experience
totals: 13 players, 549 games, 39 goals, 199 assists, 238 points, 481 PIM
averages: 42.23 games, 3 goals, 15.31 assists, 18.31 points, 37 PIM per draftee, .43 pts/game

1988
17 R Kory Kocur – no NHL experience
38 D Serge Anglehart – no NHL experience
47 D Guy Dupuis – no NHL experience
59 R Petr Hrbek – no NHL experience
80 R Sheldon Kennedy – 310 games, 49 goals, 58 assists, 107 points, 233 PIM
143 R Kelly Hurd – no NHL experience
164 Brian McCormack – no NHL experience
185 D Jody Praznik – no NHL experience
206 C Glen Goodall – no NHL experience
227 R Darren Colbourne – no NHL experience
248 C Don Stone – no NHL experience
totals: 11 players, 310 games, 49 goals, 58 assists, 107 points, 233 PIM
averages: 28.18 games, 4.45 goals, 5.27 assists, 9.73 points, 21.18 PIM per draftee, .35 pts/game

Analysis

Looking at the data, it is clear to me that the Wings’ drafting, beginning in 1983 through 1994, led to the Stanley Cup wins of 1997 and 1998, and even 2002 (although additions such as Luc Robitaille, Brett Hull, and Dominik Hasek were also big factors). The Cup core of Steve Yzerman, Joey Kocur, Nicklas Lidstrom, Sergei Fedorov, Vladimir Konstantinov, Chris Osgood, Martin Lapointe, Vyacheslav Kozlov, Darren McCarty, Tomas Holmstrom, and Mathieu Dandenault came out of these years. After years of playoff failures, this group came together and ended a 42 year Cup drought in 1997, sweeping the Philadelphia Flyers.

One can see why the Dead Wings Era existed. While the Wings had some respectable drafts, they never really hit a home run between 1972 and 1978. The Wings were brought to life with the 1983, which produced franchise player and captain, Steve Yzerman, the Bruise Brothers, Bob Probert and Joey Kocur, as well as tough man Stu Grimson. The best draft pick the Wings ever did was picking Steve Yzerman fourth in the 1983 draft, especially when Pat LaFontaine went at three, doomed to a concussion-ended NHL career. LaFontaine was a local boy from Waterford and the Wings had their eye on him before Yzerman, but, luckily, the New York Islanders took him at three.

It is also important to mention the Wings’ drafting during years of success. When they were doing well during the regular season and getting late draft picks, many of which they ended up trading away (Shanahan, Hasek deals), they still maintained a good pool of talent. For example, Vladimir Konstantinov in 1989, Dan McGillis in 1992, Tomas Holmstrom in 1994, Pavel Datsyuk in 1998, Henrik Zetterberg in 1999, and Dmitry Bykov in 2001. And, whenever people tell you that the Wings bought their three Stanley Cups of the modern era, remind them of these players. The only Cup I will even remotely say the Wings bought was in 2002, after summer signings of Luc Robitaille, Dominik Hasek, and Brett Hull. But the core of the team still played a major part in that season’s success.

In addition, it is important to consider that good drafting and retention of drafted talent leads to a high salary payout. The Wings drafted Sergei Fedorov, Nicklas Lidstrom, and Steve Yzerman, so are you going to complain that the Wings buy their Cups when they pay these stars top dollar? You can’t punish the Wings for drafting well and retaining many of the great players club scouts earmarks. The Wings helped open the gate to the USSR when they drafted Sergei Fedorov in 1989 (Alexander Mogilny was the first to defect in 1988), and have had a great success rate with Swedish-born players (Nicklas Lidstrom, Tomas Holmstrom, Henrik Zetterberg, and Anders Eriksson). So never compare the Wings to the New York Rangers, a team that has an overall better drafting history than the Wings but have bought their current roster. The New York Rangers we know today are more about prestige and big-name presentation than locker room chemistry.

Here’s an article from the Detroit News, highlighting the Wings’ draft of 1989, one of the greatest drafts in NHL history.

Quotes

These are two quotes about the NHL draft:

Scotty Bowman, at the 1983 NHL entry draft as general manager of the Buffalo Sabres:

“After today, those numbers mean nothing, except to the kids and their agents trying to get a better contract…When they come to training camp, they won’t have those same numbers on their backs, they will be just like the rest of the guys — trying to earn a job. Then, the numbers will mean nothing.”

Hall of Fame goaltender Ken Dryden, now the president of the Toronto Maple Leafs, on diamonds in the rough:

“Dominik Hasek was the 207th pick in his draft year (1983 by Chicago), Brett Hull was 117th (by Calgary in 1984), Luc Robitaille was No. 171 (by Los Angeles in ’84). Scouts and players in this great game have learned long ago that you never give up, no matter what number they attach to you on draft day.”

Brett Hull speaks out about ice time

After some prodding from journalists on Friday at the opening of the Team USA World Cup training camp, Brett Hull opened up and talked some about his departure from the Red Wings. It’s nothing all that different from what we had heard before, just confirmation of some rumors.

As we’d heard before, his biggest problem was with the ice-time he was getting. “They just took the ice time away. Pavel (Datsyuk) and I were playing 12 and 13 minutes. That’s fine if you want to do that to me, but you’ve got one of the top five players in the league, play him until he dies,” he said.

Brett’s complaint is not all that well founded since he averaged just about 17 (16:53) minutes of ice time in the regular season and 15 (15:15) over two rounds of the playoffs. He played in the 11-, 12-, or 13-minute range only seven times in 81 games played. That’s pretty good considering he once went 20 games without a goal and was a team-worst minus-4.

As for Pavel, he lead team forwards with 18 minutes (18:16) during the regular season and was fourth with 17 (17:23) during the playoffs, when he was behind Kris Draper, Robert Lang and Kirk Maltby. All three of whom were needed more anyway, Maltby and Draper for their defensive abilities and Lang for his size and strength.

In both cases the apparent drop in ice time can be easily attributed to their lackluster playoff performances. Datsyuk had six assists but no goals through 12 games and Hull had three goals and five points over the same span.

Brett’s been around long enough to know that a player who isn’t performing at a high level is going to have their ice time cut, no matter how long he’s been around. The ball was in his court and he couldn’t get it done. It’s not Dave Lewis’ fault. Hull’s ice time probably should have been cut even more, in all honesty, and he’s lucky Lewis is such a nice guy or else it would have been.

Draft Success of all Teams in NHL History: 1963-2002

The following is a list of all the teams in NHL history and a study of their draft success, from 1963 through the 2002 draft. Statistics include average games played in the NHL of drafted players (regular season only) as well as the number of NHL players picked per draft year. I will also show the teams’ Stanley Cup wins from 1964 through 2003. Even if the drafted player doesn’t stay on the team, this is a way of showing which teams have the best drafting instincts. The source of my data is hockeyDB, and I will only be counting drafts through 2002, as using the 2003 and 2004 drafts would skew the results since nearly all of these draftees haven’t had a chance of playing in the NHL. There are 41 total teams documented, and, at the end of the article, I list franchises together if applicable.

Conditions: Playing in the WHA is admirable, but doesn’t count for this study. Just as teams’ statistics will be hurt if they were around during the WHA of the 1970’s, so will teams who don’t have their 2002 draft picks active. This is why, when comparing teams, we must consider the situations during their respective histories. In other words, we can’t blindly compare the Original Six Detroit Red Wings to the fledgling Ottawa Senators and expect a concrete conclusion. Draft success can’t be extrapolated into overall success, as teams don’t necessarily have to keep a draftee. In addition, other teams can buy out good drafting teams, and teams with good drafting instincts can have bad instincts in managing prospects after the summer draft. Another factor I considered was that some players have been drafted twice. I gave credit to all teams who picked the player, even if the player only made the NHL after the second/third/etc. drafting. This is giving credit for the initial good drafting instinct, but forgiving later circumstances for the sake of this focused study

The larger goal of this study is to see whether the statistical law of averages applies in NHL drafting. Or, in other words, do draft picks average out to a universal result throughout the league, or is there such a thing as good drafting instincts? And which teams have a golden touch when it comes to dipping their ladles into the pool of NHL prospects and coming out with a gem?

Vintage

1. Quebec Nordiques (1979-1994): 97/182 [53.3%] made NHL, 175.1 average games played [31,868 total games] – 16 draft years, 6.1 NHL players/draft – 0 Stanley Cups

2. Hartford Whalers (1979-1996): 79/178 [44.4%] made NHL, 157.1 average games played [27,959 total games] – 18 draft years, 4.4 NHL players/draft – 0 Stanley Cups

3. Buffalo Sabres (1970-2004): 168/347 [48.4%] made NHL, 147.2 average games played [51,067 total games] – 33 draft years, 5.1 NHL players/draft – 0 Stanley Cups

4. Winnipeg Jets (1979-1995): 93/196 [47.4%] made NHL, 146.94 average games played [28,800 total games] – 17 draft years, 5.5 NHL players/draft – 0 Stanley Cups

5. Montreal Canadiens (1963-2004): 191/461 [41.4%] made NHL, 146.92 average games played [67,728 total games] – 40 draft years, 4.8 NHL players/draft – 12 Stanley Cups

6. New-Jersey Devils (1982-2004): 112/239 [46.9%] made NHL, 143.2 average games played [34,225 total games] – 21 draft years, 5.3 NHL players/draft – 3 Stanley Cups

7. Boston Bruins (1963-2004): 154/346 [44.5%] made NHL, 139.2 average games played [48,173 total games] – 40 draft years, 3.9 NHL players/draft – 2 Stanley Cups

8. New-York Rangers (1963-2004): 166/403 [41.2%] made NHL, 135.7 average games played [54,686 total games] – 40 draft years, 4.2 NHL players/draft – 1 Stanley Cup

9. New-York Islanders (1972-2004): 147/351 [41.9%] made NHL, 132.3 average games played [46,447 total games] – 31 draft years, 4.7 NHL players/draft – 4 Stanley Cups

10. Toronto Maple Leafs (1963-2004): 160/368 [43.5%] made NHL, 131.5 average games played [48,381 total games] – 40 draft years, 4.0 NHL players/draft – 2 Stanley Cups

11. Detroit Red Wings (1963-2004): 141/372 [37.9%] made NHL, 125.8 average games played [46,801 total games] – 40 draft years, 3.5 NHL players/draft – 3 Stanley Cups

12. Vancouver Canucks (1970-2004): 139/321 [43.3%] made NHL, 125.3 average games played [40,210 total games] – 23 draft years, 6.0 NHL players/draft – 0 Stanley Cups

13. Philadelphia Flyers (1967-2004): 141/359 [39.3%] made NHL, 114. 3 average games played [41,031 total games] – 36 draft years, 3.9 NHL players/draft – 2 Stanley Cups

14. Chicago Blackhawks (1963-2004): 140/364 [38.5%] made NHL, 111.9 average games played [40,728 total games] – 40 draft years, 3.5 NHL players/draft – 0 Stanley Cups

15. Minnesota North Stars (1967-1992): 109/261 [41.8%] made NHL, 109.6 average games played [28,615 total games] – 26 draft years, 3.0 NHL players/draft – 0 Stanley Cups

16. Calgary Flames (1980-2004): 101/262 [38.5%] made NHL, 109.0 average games played [28,568 total games] – 23 draft years, 4.4 NHL players/draft – 1 Stanley Cup

17. Washington Capitals (1974-2004): 137/322 [42.5%] made NHL, 106.5 average games played [34,306 total games] – 29 draft years, 4.7 NHL players/draft – 0 Stanley Cups

18. Pittsburgh Penguins (1967-2004): 151/338 [44.7%] made NHL, 106.2 average games played [35,887 total games] – 36 draft years, 4.2 NHL players/draft – 2 Stanley Cups

19. Los-Angeles Kings (1967-2004): 134/323 [41.5%] made NHL, 103.5 average games played [33,432 total games] – 36 draft years, 3.7 NHL players/draft – 0 Stanley Cups

20. Edmonton Oilers (1979-2004): 98/259 [37.8%] made NHL, 102.3 average games played [26,493 total games] – 24 draft years, 4.1 NHL players/draft – 5 Stanley Cups

21. St. Louis Blues (1968-2004): 128/350 [36.6%] made NHL, 99.5 average games played [34,840 total games] – 25 draft years, 5.1 NHL players/draft – 0 Stanley Cups

Original Six

1. Montreal Canadiens (1963-2004): 191/461 [41.4%] made NHL, 146.9 average games played [67,728 total games] – 40 draft years, 4.8 NHL players/draft – 12 Stanley Cups

2. Boston Bruins (1963-2004): 154/346 [44.5%] made NHL, 139.2 average games played [48,173 total games] – 40 draft years, 3.9 NHL players/draft – 2 Stanley Cups

3. New-York Rangers (1963-2004): 166/403 [41.2%] made NHL, 135.7 average games played [54,686 total games] – 40 draft years, 4.2 NHL players/draft – 1 Stanley Cup

4. Toronto Maple Leafs (1963-2004): 160/368 [43.5%] made NHL, 131.5 average games played [48,381 total games] – 40 draft years, 4.0 NHL players/draft – 2 Stanley Cups

5. Detroit Red Wings (1963-2004): 141/372 [37.9%] made NHL, 125.8 average games played [46,801 total games] – 40 draft years, 3.5 NHL players/draft – 3 Stanley Cups

6. Chicago Blackhawks (1963-2004): 140/364 [38.5%] made NHL, 111.9 average games played [40,728 total games] – 40 draft years, 3.5 NHL players/draft – 0 Stanley Cups

Recent Additions

1. San Jose Sharks (1991-2004): 46/112 [41.1%] made NHL, 100.8 average games played [11,285 total games] – 12 draft years, 3.8 NHL players/draft – 0 Stanley Cups

2. Ottawa Senators (1992-2004): 47/107 [43.9%] made NHL, 83.8 average games played [8,965 total games] – 11 draft years, 4.3 NHL players/draft – 0 Stanley Cups

3. Anaheim Mighty Ducks (1993-2004): 37/82 [45.1%] made NHL, 76.2 average games played [6,250 total games] – 10 draft years, 3.7 NHL players/draft – 0 Stanley Cups

4. Florida Panthers (1993-2004): 40/99 [40.4%] made NHL, 73.7 average games played [7,293 total games] – 10 draft years, 4.0 NHL players/draft – 0 Stanley Cups

5. Tampa-Bay Lightning (1992-2004): 38/117 [32.5%] made NHL, 58.1 average games played [6,800 total games] – 11 draft years, 3.5 NHL players/draft – 0 Stanley Cups

6. Colorado Avalanche (1995-2004): 36/86 [41.9%] made NHL, 57.1 average games played [4,908 total games] – 8 draft years, 4.5 NHL players/draft – 2 Stanley Cups

7. Dallas Stars (1993-2004): 30/94 [31.9%] made NHL, 46.5 average games played [4,368 total games] – 10 draft years, 3.0 NHL players/draft – 1 Stanley Cup

8. Minnesota Wild (2000-2004): 10/26 [38.5%] made NHL, 37.7 average games played [981 total games] – 3 draft years, 3.3 NHL players/draft – 0 Stanley Cups

9. Carolina Hurricanes (1997-2004): 18/48 [37.5%] made NHL, 37.1 average games played [1,781 total games] – 6 draft years, 3.0 NHL players/draft – 0 Stanley Cups

10. Nashville Predators (1998-2004): 17/52 [32.7%] made NHL, 35.8 average games played [1,859 total games] – 5 draft years, 3.4 NHL players/draft – 0 Stanley Cups

11. Phoenix Coyotes (1996-2004): 19/61 [31.1%] made NHL, 30.0 average games played [1,833 total games] – 7 draft years, 2.7 NHL players/draft – 0 Stanley Cups

12. Atlanta Thrashers (1999-2004): 12/44 [27.3%] made NHL, 27.0 average games played [1,190 total games] – 4 draft years, 3.0 NHL players/draft – 0 Stanley Cups

13. Columbus Blue Jackets (2000-2004): 9/35 [25.7%] made NHL, 17.8 average games played [622 total games] – 3 draft years, 3.0 NHL players/draft – 0 Stanley Cups

Short-Lived Leftovers

1. California Seals (1974-1976): 14/26 [53.8%] made NHL, 164.2 average games played [4,270 total games] – 3 draft years, 4.7 NHL players/draft – 0 Stanley Cups

2. Atlanta Flames (1972-1979): 39/78 [50%] made NHL, 162.3 average games played [12,659 total games] – 8 draft years, 4.9 NHL players/draft – 0 Stanley Cups

3. Kansas-City Scouts (1974-1976): 13/26 [50%] made NHL, 142.7 average games played [3,709 total games] – 3 draft years, 4.3 NHL players/draft – 0 Stanley Cups

4. Colorado Rockies (1977-1981): 28/45 [62.2%] made NHL, 135.6 average games played [6,101 total games] – 5 draft years, 5.6 NHL players/draft – 0 Stanley Cups

5. California Golden Seals (1970-1973): 21/34 [61.8%] made NHL, 108.1 average games played [3,676 total games] – 4 draft years, 5.3 NHL players/draft – 0 Stanley Cups

6. Oakland Seals (1967-1969): 5/12 [41.7%] made NHL, 98.8 average games played [1,185 total games] – 3 draft years, 1.7 NHL players/draft – 0 Stanley Cups

7. Cleveland Barons (1977): 5/9 [55.6%] made NHL, 88.8 average games played [799 total games] – 1 draft year, 5.0 NHL players/draft – 0 Stanley Cups

Overall Individual Teams

The following is an overall listing of all the above teams and their respective average games played per draftee:

1. Quebec Nordiques (175.1)
2. California Seals (164.2)
3. Atlanta Flames (162.3)
4. Hartford Whalers (157.1)
5. Buffalo Sabres (147.2)
6. Winnipeg Jets (146.94)
7. Montreal Canadiens (146.92)
8. New-Jersey Devils (143.2)
9. Kansas-City Scouts (142.7)
10. Boston Bruins (139.2)
11. New-York Rangers (135.7)
12. Colorado Rockies (135.6)
13. New-York Islanders (132.3)
14. Toronto Maple Leafs (131.5)
15. Detroit Red Wings (125.8)
16. Vancouver Canucks (125.3)
NHL AVERAGE (118.2)
17. Philadelphia Flyers (114.3)
18. Chicago Blackhawks (111.9)
19. Minnesota North Stars (109.6)
20. Calgary Flames (109.0)
21. California Golden Seals (108.1)
22. Washington Capitals (106.5)
23. Pittsburgh Penguins (106.2)
24. Los-Angeles Kings (103.5)
25. Edmonton Oilers (102.3)
26. San Jose Sharks (100.8)
27. St. Louis Blues (99.5)
28. Oakland Seals (98.8)
29. Cleveland Barons (88.8)
30. Ottawa Senators (83.8)
31. Anaheim Mighty Ducks (76.2)
32. Florida Panthers (73.7)
33. Tampa-Bay Lightning (58.1)
34. Colorado Avalanche (57.1)
35. Dallas Stars (46.5)
36. Minnesota Wild (37.7)
37. Carolina Hurricanes (37.1)
38. Nashville Predators (35.8)
39. Phoenix Coyotes (30.0)
40. Atlanta Thrashers (27.0)
41. Columbus Blue Jackets (17.8)

Total Players Drafted: 7,791

Total Players Made NHL: 3,266 (41.9% of draftees play at least one NHL game)

Total Games: 920,779

NHL Average, Games Played per Draftee: 118.2

NHL Average, NHL Players/Draft: 4.1

Franchise Mode

The following is an overall listing of all the above teams, with some shown as a single franchise that moved from city to city:

Quebec Nordiques (1979-1994) + Colorado Avalanche (1995-2004) = 133/268 [49.6%] made NHL, 137.2 average games played [36,776 total games] – 24 draft years, 5.5 NHL players/draft – 2 Stanley Cups

Minnesota North Stars (1967-1992) + Dallas Stars (1993-2004) = 139/355 [39.2%] made NHL, 92.9 average games played [32,983 total games] – 36 draft years, 3.9 NHL players/draft – 1 Stanley Cups

Hartford Whalers (1979-1996) + Carolina Hurricanes (1997-2004) = 97/226 [42.9%] made NHL, 131.6 average games played [29,740 total games] – 24 draft years, 4.0 NHL players/draft – 0 Stanley Cups

Winnipeg Jets (1979-1995) + Phoenix Coyotes (1996-2004) = 112/257 [43.6%] made NHL, 119.2 average games played [30,633 total games] – 24 draft years, 4.7 NHL players/draft – 0 Stanley Cups

Atlanta Flames (1972-1979) + Calgary Flames (1980-2004) = 140/340 [41.2%] made NHL, 121.3 average games played [41,227 total games] – 31 draft years, 4.5 NHL players/draft – 1 Stanley Cup

Kansas-City Scouts (1974-1976) + Colorado Rockies (1977-1981) + New-Jersey Devils (1982-2004) = 153/310 [49.4%] made NHL, 142.0 average games played [44,035 total games] – 29 draft years, 5.3 NHL players/draft – 3 Stanley Cups

Oakland Seals (1967-1969) + California Golden Seals (1970-1973) + California Seals (1974-1976) + Cleveland Barons (1977) = 45/81 [55.6%] made NHL, 122.6 average games played [9,930 total games] – 11 draft years, 4.1 NHL players/draft – 0 Stanley Cups

This is what the standings look like when these figures are adjusted:

Overall Franchise Ranking

1. Buffalo Sabres (147.2)
2. Montreal Canadiens (146.92)
3. Kansas-City Scouts + Colorado Rockies + New-Jersey Devils (142.0)
4. Boston Bruins (139.2)
5. Quebec Nordiques + Colorado Avalanche (137.2)
6. New-York Rangers (135.7)
7. New-York Islanders (132.3)
8. Hartford Whalers + Carolina Hurricanes (131.6)
9. Toronto Maple Leafs (131.5)
10. Detroit Red Wings (125.8)
11. Vancouver Canucks (125.3)
12. Oakland Seals + California Golden Seals + California Seals + Cleveland Barons (122.6)
13. Atlanta Flames + Calgary Flames (121.3)
14. Winnipeg Jets + Phoenix Coyotes (119.2)
NHL AVERAGE (118.2)
15.
Philadelphia Flyers (114.3)
16. Chicago Blackhawks (111.9)
17. Washington Capitals (106.5)
18. Pittsburgh Penguins (106.2)
19. Los-Angeles Kings (103.5)
20. Edmonton Oilers (102.3)
21. San Jose Sharks (100.8)
22. St. Louis Blues (99.5)
23. Minnesota North Stars + Dallas Stars (92.9)
24. Ottawa Senators (83.8)
25. Anaheim Mighty Ducks (76.2)
26. Florida Panthers (73.7)
27. Tampa-Bay Lightning (58.1)
28. Minnesota Wild (37.7)
29. Nashville Predators (35.8)
30. Atlanta Thrashers (27.0)
31. Columbus Blue Jackets (17.8)

Analysis

In looking at the results, one should do more than a one-dimension analysis of the standings. As mentioned in the “Conditions” section above, there are many factors that work in bringing about a Stanley Cup champion.

The St Louis Blues are ranked 22/31 overall (21/21 Vintage) and are one of the worst drafting long-time franchises. Their 99.5 average games played per draftee is well below the league average of 118.2, and their 5.1 NHL players/draft is above the league average of 4.1. These figures represent a problem in the Blues’ franchise: an inability in getting long-time NHLers in the draft. And, in their case, bad drafting partly translated to no Stanley Cups in their team history, with the Red Wings’ dominance also playing a big part in the Arched City’s Cup woes.

Looking at the Winnipeg Jets (4 Vintage) and Montreal Canadiens (5 Vintage), their average games played per draftee are near identical (146.94 and 146.92). Then average NHL player/draft: the Jets averaged 5.5 and the Canadiens averaged 4.8. The Jets had 47.4% of their picks make the NHL, while the Canadiens 41.4%. If the Jets had made 461 picks over 40 years (as the Canadiens did) they were on pace to net 218.7 NHLers, compared to the Canadiens’ 191. So the Jets look to be the better drafting team, although it’s hard to argue against 12 Stanley Cups between 1964 and 2003.

All conditions isolated, if it takes the Jets the 218.7/461 picks to stay even with the Canadiens with respect to the average games played per draftee figure, sure, they still have a better percentage of their players making the NHL. But there is a larger issue at hand: the Jets’ 5.5 average NHL players/draft when compared to the Canadiens’ 4.8 reveals much about the quality of draftees. It reflects that the Jets are not getting as many long-time NHLers as the Canadiens, who, on average, are getting more games from the guys who make the NHL. The Jets extrapolated to 40 years of drafting would have an average of 309.7 games/NHLer, compared to the Canadiens’ 354.6. So the Canadiens get the nod, and number two overall in the franchise ranking shows a lot.

Looking at the Vintage Teams, which are the primary focus of this study anyway, I will try to find a correlation between draft success and Cup success. The league average of games played per draftee is 118.2. There are 10 Cups below this mark, 27 above, and 3 in the recent additions (2 Avs, 1 Stars). So 25% of the Cups between 1964 and 2003 were below the league average for drafting, 67.5% above, and 7.5% were recent additions. So it definitely helps to be a good drafting team, but I am not going to say that there is a direct correlation between Cup wins and draft success. In my statistics class in high school, I learned that correlations between variables must be qualified, just in case there are lurking variables also affecting an outcome. Surely in this case, other factors affect a team’s Cup chances. So I will stick with saying that a team has a better chance to win the Cup if it is on the good side of the league average for drafting, based on strict probability.

Looking at where the Wings stand (11/21 Vintage, 10/31 Overall), with 125.8 average games played and 37.9% of picks making the NHL, one must understand that the WHA and Dead Wings Era hurt the Wings’ statistics. While tabulating the data, I saw the Wings’ stature jump considerably from 1983 (Steve Yzerman drafting) on. In a follow-up study, I will go into greater detail on the drafting success of the Detroit Red Wings, highlighting their best drafting years and analyze why their average stands where it does. One of my motivations in researching this topic was to see where the Wings take their place among other teams in NHL history, so I will break down the Wings’ 40 years of drafting in the follow-up.

My conclusion in this draft study is that there clearly is such a thing as good drafting instinct, and that some teams are definitely better than others. Also, being a team which possesses this mysterious drafting ability gives one a much better chance at winning the Cup. Finally, even if one is doing well with their average games played per draftee figure, the average NHL players/draft year figure shows whether a team is taking long-time NHLers or people who have a cup of coffee in the league.

Link

Check out this draft study done by two economics professors at McMaster University (Hamilton, Ontario). You’ll need to have Adobe Acrobat, as it is a pdf file.

8/19 Red Wings Notes

— Sorry about the downtime parts of the site went through today (if anyone noticed). It was due to a small change I made in the template and forgot to change back. The error caused the post pages to have none of their respective posts shown so the last two things published here were only viewable on the front page. This has been fixed.

— I’m not going to do a full post on this since a good one has already been made by Jes Golbez but Robert Lang has won the Czech Zlata Hokejka (Golden Stick), which makes him the best player in the world from his country. For something that had become the Jaromir Jagr/Dominik Hasek Award, it’s pretty amazing that Robert got it. Congratulations!

mLive says that The Captain has made progress his recovery from that horrible eye injury and is still working on a deal with the Wings. Apparently he should be signed by Septermber 15th, the day we all know as the Day the CBA Expires, as well as some or all of the other three Red Wings currently unsigned (Chris Chelios, Mathieu Schneider, Pavel Datsyuk). I wouldn’t get my hopes up about Schneider but Pavel and Cheli should be back for sure. Though those bonuses on Chelios’ contract are taking ridiculously long to hash out.

Red Wings sign Peter Vandermeer

The Detroit Red Wings organization gained some low-level toughness yesterday by signing 28-year-old and career-AHLer Peter Vandermeer to a one year contract. As usual, terms of the deal were not disclosed but don’t worry, the Wings aren’t spending the big bucks on the man who led the AHL in penalty minutes last year with 398. He wasn’t signed to play here in Detroit with the big boys but to replace the departed Ryan Barnes on the Grand Rapids Griffins so it is extremely unlikely we’ll see him in the Red-and-White any time soon, if ever. He is not the combination of skill and toughness that we Wings fans have lusted over for years so don’t get your hopes up.

Vandermeer is a left winger who, in 307 AHL games, has scored 39 goals and notched 37 assists for a not-so-glorious total of 76. His most productive year was 2000-2001 when he scored 19 goals. What’s interesting about that is the fact that 14 of those goals were scored on the power play. The Griffins’ coach Danton Cole said “We’ll certainly take a look at him on the power play. He’s tough to move in front of the net.”

Probably the most good that will come out of this deal is that it will give that hothead Darryl Bootland a chance to focus more on his offense. We all know Darryl sometimes got a little carried away during his time here in Detroit, to the point where the coaches gave him an obvious order to tone it down. He is a player who does have the potential to play in the NHL permanently some day and having Vandermeer around to shoulder some of the gooning load will be very beneficial.

Now if Ken Holland would get his rear in gear and sign some NHL-level toughness, we might actually make some progress. Everyone knows that is the Wings’ biggest weakness and while stocking the Griffins is great, one or two rougher players on the main roster wouldn’t hurt either.

Niedermayer awarded $7 million

Norris Trophy winner Scott Niedermayer was awarded $7 million dollars at his salary arbitration hearing. Arbitration came after the New Jersey Devils defenseman turned down a five-year, $40 million contract. He in turn requested a $45 million contract for the same period. The $7 million matches John LeClair’s award in 2000 as the largest salary arbitration settlement.

Niedermayer sought more money after Chris Pronger signed a one-year, $10 million contract with the Blues. Speaking of that deal two weeks ago, I noted that it would cause a ripple effect of all star defensemen seeking cash-outs on their success, including the Wings’ own Mathieu Schneider.

The Niedermayer award accommodates with New Jersey’s self-imposed salary ceiling of around $7 million (Martin Brodeur making $6,891,103.13, Scott Stevens making $6,916,747.25, and Scott Niedermayer now making $7 million). The Devils dodged a bullet with Niedermayer only getting $7 million, especially after he turned down a long-term deal of $8 million per season and Devils’ General Manager Lou Lamoriello said that he will pay whatever it takes.

Niedermayer earned $4 million last season, and likely argued in arbitration for a salary closer to those of Nicklas Lidstrom, Chris Pronger, or Rob Blake. I am glad to see that, when more and more general managers throw cash at their players, arbitration hearings still keep league salaries in check.

8/12 World Cup of Hockey Notes

The World Cup of Hockey, which could possibly be the only high-level hockey we’ll see for the rest of this calendar year, has many fans excited with its promise of showcasing the top players in the world in an Olympic-like setting. Those who watched the 2002 Winter Olympics know just how good hockey can be and the top eight hockey nations in the world (Canada, Russia, Sweden, Finland, the USA, the Czech Republic, Germany and Slovakia) are going to give us another taste of that later this month and into September by showcasing their best players.

At least, that’s how it was supposed to be. As more and more of the world’s top players drop out, the WCH is starting to lose some of its significance and excitement. It will still be a good tournament but some with some of the big names not involved, it probably won’t have the same viewership.

It all started with Russia’s Evgeni Nabokov, who bowed out in June so he could undergo knee surgery in July. Team Russia’s next choice was Tampa Bay’s Nikolai Khabibulin but he announced just days later that he was not interested in playing. He based his decision on memories of Russia’s chaotic wind up to the 1996 World Cup and said he did not want to go through that again. That leaves Russia with Ilya Bryzgalov and Maxim Sokolov, virtual unknowns on a team that had a real possibility of winning with a solid goalie.

A month later, Steve Yzerman announced he would not participate in the tournament due to the eye injury he suffered in Game 5 of the Western Conference Semifinals against Calgary. Vincent Lecavalier was given the nod to replace him, which is more evidence of Canada’s overwhelming talent pool advantage than anything else. Lecavalier will provide some scoring spark where The Captain wouldn’t but he doesn’t have the same leadership qualities yet and that may haunt Team Canada.

A few days later, Jeremy Roenick dropped out of the tournament, putting a large dent in Team USA’s hopes at repeating their 1996 WCH win. He had not fully recovered from taking a puck to the face during the regular season, an incident which resulted in a concussion and a broken jaw for the outspoken Philadelphia center. He was replaced by New Jersey’s Scott Gomez, a quality player but no where near the Roenick in terms of name recognition and ability.

Later in July, it was announced that Colorado Avalanche defenseman Rob Blake had to drop out in order to recover from shoulder surgery. It was a major blow to the Canada, who was hoping to have Blake’s physical presence on the blue line along with his Avalanche teammate Adam Foote’s. He was replaced by San Jose’s Scott Hannan, another good player but not widely known outside his own fanbase.

Early in August, Robert Lang dropped out for reasons unspecified. In Detroit, it is believed to be related to an injury he suffered in the playoffs but it was never really known what exactly the injury was. He was replaced by Anaheim’s Petr Sykora, another very capable player and one who probably should have been on the roster in the first place.

Then, Ed Belfour told Team Canada he would not be able to play due to a back injury. It wasn’t earth-shattering news since they still have Martin Brodeur but Belfour would have been a very capable backup in case of injury. He was replaced by the Habs’ Jose Theodore, who again demonstrates that Canada has an enormous talent pool from which to draw.

The Czech Republic lost one of their top defensemen when Tampa Bay’s Pavel Kubina pulled out of the tournament on the 10th. He cited a concussion suffered during the Stanley Cup Finals as the reason for deciding not to play. He was replaced by Jiri Fischer today. The Czechs are obviously banking on Jiri bringing his “2002 game” rather than the poor excuse for defense he brought last season for the Wings.

Yesterday, it was announced by Team USA that Mathieu Schneider would not play, “due to his unsettled contract situation,” with the Red Wings. (By the way, the Freep is calling him an ex-Wing. Sure he’s unsigned but he’s not gone yet. I think. Maybe they know something we don’t. Actually, they probably do, being the media and all) Hall Gill of the Boston Bruins will replace Schneider, who will continue looking for someone who is willing to pay him the big bucks for finishing in the top ten of Norris voting (a feat my sister’s dog would accomplish were he playing next to Nick Lidstrom).

Also yesterday, Team Russia practically lost all hope of winning when Sergei Fedorov, Alexei Zhamnov and Valeri Bure all dropped out. Sergei just didn’t feel up to playing, according to his agent, who said he’s “nursing a few minor injuries – nothing major but he’s not 100 per cent.” Ah, the Sergei we know and love. The Russians will also be without defenseman Alexei Zhitnik, who doesn’t have the insurance coverage to play according to his agent. Russia’s problems with icing a highly competitive team speak of some major problems within their organization but that’s been known for years. It’s really a shame since they could have the best team in the world on paper if those names would just tough it out.

If you still want to watch the Hockey World Cup knowing who won’t be in it (I know I still do), check out CBC or ESPN/ESPN2 starting August 30th and ending September 14th. Click here for the full schedule and here for the rosters. It’s still going to be exciting and will hopefully inspire the geniuses over at the NHL office, a group of people with nothing better to do than changing the league logo. And that with the Death of the NHL coming up in a month and three days.